Friday, September 25, 2009

Ha Joon Chang on Culture and Economic Development

Ha-Joon Chang, Cambridge University Professor of Economics makes an eloquent argument for why differences in culture don't explain differences in income:
"...in the early days of capitalism when most economically successful countries happened to be Protestant Christian, many people argued that Protestantism was uniquely suited to economic development. When Catholic France, Italy, Austria, and Southern Germany developed rapidly, particularly after the Second World War, Christianity, rather than Protestantism, became the magic culture. Until Japan became rich, many people thought East Asia had not develop because of Confucianism. But when Japan succeeded, this thesis was revised to say that Japan was developing so fast because its unique form of Confucianism emphasised cooperation over individual edification, which the Chinese and Korean versions allegedly valued more highly. And then Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan, and Korea also started doing well, so this judgment about the different varieties of Confucianism was forgotten. Indeed Confucianism as a whole suddenly became the best culture for development because it emphasised hard work, saving, education, and submission to authority. Today, when we now see Muslim Malaysia and Indonesia, Buddhist Thailand, and even Hindu India doing economically well, we can soon expect to encounter new theories that will trumpet how uniquely all these cultures are suited for economic development (and how their authors have known about it all along)."
Culture has a certain appeal on both the left and the right as a determinant of a country's politics and economics. But cultural arguments are often subject to a winner's bias: since rich countries will typically have high levels of education and entrepreneurial spirit, we can look for teachings within a given culture that promote those values. But we're looking the wrong way. As Chang argues:
Culture is the result, as well as the cause, of economic development. It would be far more accurate to say that countries become “hardworking” and “disciplined” (and acquire other “good” cultural traits) because of economic development, rather than the other way around.
This is from a chapter in Chang's book "Bad Samaritans", a critical look at global trade. It's definitely worth a look.

Monday, September 14, 2009

The trouble with tariffs

The stated logic behind tariffs is that they protect domestic jobs against international competition. That's the justification behind the recent tariffs on Chinese tire imports imposed by the Obama administration. Many people think this is a laudable goal; but is it worth the cost? As Brad DeLong explains, probably not:
"Let's see... 250 million cars in America... need 4 tires per car... need new tires every 2.5 years. 400 million tires a year... $1.4 billion dollars a year... 10,000 worker jobs saved... $140,000 dollars per worker-job per year.

Looks like we could (a) let the Chinese sell us tires, (b) tax each tire by $2.50, (c) pay each tire worker who loses his or her job $100K a year, and we come out ahead: American households have more money to spend on other things, China has more jobs to help what is still a very poor country grow, and tire workers have higher incomes and more leisure as well.

But, you say, it would be stupid to impose a $2 a tire tax and use the money to pay each laid-off tire worker $100K a year.

That's the point: when the policy you are adopting is worse for everybody than a policy you agree is stupid, the policy you are adopting is best characterized as really stupid."
We should not ignore or diminish all concerns about free trade. But the trouble with tariffs is that they usually cost more than they're worth in terms of protecting domestic jobs*.

Some have suggested that this tariff is designed to boost support for healthcare reform among labor groups. In that case, the cost/benefit calculation changes depending on the desirability of the proposed legislation. However, the point is that tariffs are rarely justified by their overall economic impact.

*Not everyone would agree that protecting domestic jobs is a worthwhile public policy goal. Assuming that it is, however, we need to consider whether it's a cost-effective policy.